Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.001039 1.182086e-03 0.001326 0.001480 0.001641 0.001803 0.001978
2025-12-21 0.000846 1.054841e-03 0.001271 0.001509 0.001762 0.002022 0.002307
2025-12-28 0.000651 9.031913e-04 0.001173 0.001478 0.001809 0.002153 0.002537
2026-01-04 0.000514 8.000860e-04 0.001116 0.001482 0.001885 0.002311 0.002789
2026-01-11 0.000390 6.972742e-04 0.001050 0.001468 0.001936 0.002436 0.003002
2026-01-18 0.000290 6.095740e-04 0.000993 0.001457 0.001985 0.002555 0.003206
2026-01-25 0.000182 4.955695e-04 0.000895 0.001393 0.001970 0.002599 0.003323
2026-02-01 0.000112 4.189706e-04 0.000835 0.001368 0.001993 0.002683 0.003481
2026-02-08 0.000067 3.676203e-04 0.000802 0.001370 0.002046 0.002796 0.003670
2026-02-15 0.000036 3.282679e-04 0.000780 0.001384 0.002110 0.002920 0.003867
2026-02-22 0.000016 2.992558e-04 0.000769 0.001409 0.002185 0.003055 0.004076
2026-03-01 0.000002 2.612543e-04 0.000742 0.001412 0.002232 0.003157 0.004246
2026-03-08 NaN 1.935212e-04 0.000677 0.001380 0.002255 0.003252 0.004433
2026-03-15 NaN 1.602304e-04 0.000660 0.001409 0.002353 0.003435 0.004721
2026-03-22 NaN 1.070521e-04 0.000601 0.001380 0.002380 0.003535 0.004916
2026-03-29 NaN 7.410890e-05 0.000569 0.001384 0.002446 0.003680 0.005161
2026-04-05 NaN 4.198771e-05 0.000526 0.001371 0.002488 0.003796 0.005373
2026-04-12 NaN 1.859480e-05 0.000487 0.001361 0.002532 0.003914 0.005585
2026-04-19 NaN 1.285101e-08 0.000417 0.001298 0.002508 0.003949 0.005701
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000375 0.001274 0.002530 0.004036 0.005876
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000352 0.001276 0.002585 0.004162 0.006093
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000336 0.001290 0.002653 0.004303 0.006327
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000329 0.001315 0.002735 0.004459 0.006578